So you made it via the second set of Democratic debates. Congratulations! Ready to speak about the subsequent ones?
The Democratic National Committee has set stricter standards for the third set of debates, which will probably be held on Sept. 12 and Sept. 13 in Houston. If 10 or fewer candidates qualify, the debate will happen on just one evening.
[The race is fluid, and different issues we discovered from the July Democratic debates.]
Candidates might want to have 130,000 distinctive donors and register not less than 2 % assist in 4 polls. They have till Aug. 28 to succeed in these benchmarks.
These standards might simply halve the area: The first two units of debates included 20 of the 24 candidates, however a New York Times evaluation of polls and donor numbers exhibits that solely 10 to 12 candidates are prone to make the third spherical.
Seven candidates have already met both qualification thresholds and are guaranteed a spot on stage. They are:
Three other candidates are very close: The former housing secretary Julián Castro and the entrepreneur Andrew Yang have surpassed 130,000 donations and each have three of the four qualifying polls they need, while Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota has met the polling threshold and has about 120,000 donors.
Beyond them, only three candidates have even a single qualifying poll to their name: the impeachment activist Tom Steyer (2 polls), Representative Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii (1) and former Gov. John Hickenlooper of Colorado (1).
We asked all three of their campaigns to provide donor numbers so we could assess where they stood. Ms. Gabbard had just under 114,000 donors as of Wednesday night. A spokesman for Mr. Steyer said he was “on track to collect the required number of donors to make the September debate stage” but did not give a number. Mr. Hickenlooper’s campaign did not respond, but Politico reported a month ago that he had only 13,000 donors.
The other 11 candidates in the race have no qualifying polls to their name, and they all went into this week’s debates seeking a viral moment that would attract new donors and lift them, even briefly, in the polls.
The qualification rules do not require enduring support. Even a small post-debate surge could push a 1 percent candidate up to 2 percent in the small handful of polls he or she needs.
But for those who have not qualified, the Aug. 28 deadline is an existential threat. Candidates like Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York or Gov. Jay Inslee of Washington could be washed out of the race if they don’t get momentum from this week’s debates. And if you’re wondering whether they’re anxious, the answer is yes.
Ms. Gabbard’s campaign calculated at one point that she needed a new donor every minute to reach 130,000 by the Aug. 28 deadline, so if you go to her website, a timer next to the donation button begins counting down 60 seconds. Then the text changes.
“🙁 Oh no!” it says. “The time expired and you didn’t donate!”
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